Thursday, November 28, 2019
What Solutions Are Possible to the Free Rider Problem, Both Inside and Outside of Government free essay sample
Outline of the Chapter â⬠¢ Bond pricing and sensitivity of bond pricing to interest rate changes â⬠¢ Duration analysis ââ¬â What is duration? ââ¬â What determines duration? â⬠¢ Convexity â⬠¢ Passive bond management ââ¬â Immunization â⬠¢ Active bond management 16-2 Interest Rate Risk â⬠¢ There is an inverse relationship between interest rates (yields) and price of the bonds. â⬠¢ The changes in interest rates cause capital gains or losses. â⬠¢ This makes fixed-income investments risky. 16-3 Interest Rate Risk (Continued) 16-4 Interest Rate Risk (Continued) What factors affect the sensitivity of the bonds to interest rate fluctuations? â⬠¢ Malkielââ¬â¢s (1962) bond-pricing relationships ââ¬â Bond prices and yields are inversely related. ââ¬â An increase in a bondââ¬â¢s YTM results in a smaller price change than a decrease in yield of equal magnitude. ââ¬â Prices of long-term bonds tend to be more sensitive to interest rat e changes than prices of short-term bonds. 16-5 Interest Rate Risk (Continued) ââ¬â The sensitivity of bond prices to changes in yields increases at a decreasing rate as maturity increases. We will write a custom essay sample on What Solutions Are Possible to the Free Rider Problem, Both Inside and Outside of Government or any similar topic specifically for you Do Not WasteYour Time HIRE WRITER Only 13.90 / page ââ¬â Interest rate risk is inversely related to the bondââ¬â¢s coupon rate. Homer and Liebowitzââ¬â¢s (1972) bond-pricing relationship ââ¬â The sensitivity of a bondââ¬â¢s price to change in its yield is inversely related to the YTM at which the bond currently is selling. 16-6 Interest Rate Risk (Continued) â⬠¢ Why and how different bond characteristics affect interest rate sensitivity? 16-7 Interest Rate Risk (Continued) â⬠¢ Duration ââ¬â Macaulayââ¬â¢s duration: the weighted average of the times to each coupon or principal payment made by the bond. â⬠¢ Weight applied to each payment is the present value of the payment divided by the bond price. wt D CFt /(1 y ) t , Bondprice T T wt t 1 1 t * wt t 1 16-8 Interest Rate Risk (Continued) â⬠¢ Example: 16-9 Interest Rate Risk (Continued) ââ¬â Duration is shorter than maturity for all bonds except zero coupon bonds. ââ¬â Duration is equal to maturity for zero coupon bonds. â⬠¢ Why duration is important? ââ¬â Simple summary statistic of the effective average maturity of the portfolio. ââ¬â Tool for immunizing portfolios from interest rate risk. ââ¬â Measure of the interest rate sensitivity of a portfolio. 16-10 Interest Rate Risk (Continued) ââ¬â The long-term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate movements than are short-term bonds. ââ¬â By using duration we can quantify this relation. P P D (1 y ) 1 y 16-11 Interest Rate Risk (Continued) ââ¬â Modified Duration: â⬠¢ Measure of the bondââ¬â¢s exposure to changes in interest rates. â⬠¢ The percentage change in bond prices is just the product of modified duration and the change in the bondââ¬â¢s yield to maturity. â⬠¢ Note that the equations are only approximately valid for large changes in the bondââ¬â¢s yield. D* P P (1 D /(1 D* y) y) y y 16-12 Interest Rate Risk (Continued) â⬠¢ What determines Duration? ââ¬â The duration of a zero-coupon bond equals its time to maturity. ââ¬â Holding maturity constant, a bondââ¬â¢s duration is higher when the coupon rate is lower. Holding the coupon rate constant, a bondââ¬â¢s duration generally increases with its time to maturity. â⬠¢ For zero-coupon bonds the maturity=the duration â⬠¢ For coupon bonds duration increases by less than a year with a yearââ¬â¢s increase in maturity. 16-13 Interest Rate Risk (Continued) ââ¬â Ho lding other factors constant, the duration of a coupon bond is higher when the bondââ¬â¢s yield to maturity is lower. â⬠¢ At lower yields the more distant payments made by the bond have relatively greater present values and account for a greater share of the bondââ¬â¢s total value. The duration of a level perpetuity is equal to: (1+y) / y â⬠¢ The PV-weighted CFs early on in the life of the perpetuity dominate the computation of duration. 16-14 Interest Rate Risk (Continued) 16-15 Convexity â⬠¢ By employing the duration concept we can analyse the impact of interest rate changes on bond prices. ââ¬â The percentage change in the value of a bond approximately equals the product of modified duration times the change in the bondââ¬â¢s yield. ââ¬â However if this formula were exactly correct then the graph of the percentage change in bond prices as a function of the change in ts yield would be a straight line, with a slope D*. 16-16 Convexity (Continued) â⬠¢ The duration rule is a good approximation for small changes in bond yields. â⬠¢ The duration approximation always understates the value of the bond. â⬠¢ It underestimates the increase in price when yields fall. â⬠¢ It overestimates the decline in prices when yields rise. â⬠¢Due to the curvature of the true price-yield relationshipconvexity 16-17 Convexity (Continued) â⬠¢ Convexity is the rate of change of the slope of the price-yield curve, expressed as a fraction of the bond price. Higher convexity refers to higher curvature in the price-yield relationship. ââ¬â The convexity of noncallable bonds are usually positive. ââ¬â The slope of the cuve that shows the price-yield relation increases at higher yields. Convexity 1 P (1 y ) 2 n t 1 CFt (t 2 t ) (1 y )t 16-18 Convexity (Continued) â⬠¢ We can improve the duration approximation for bond price changes by taking into account for convexity. â⬠¢ The new equation becomes: P P D y 1 [Convexity ( y ) 2 ] 2 â⬠¢ The convexity becomes more important when potential interest rate changes are larger. 16-19 Convexity (Continued) â⬠¢ Why convexity is important? â⬠¢ In the figure bond A is more convex than bond B. â⬠¢The price increases are more in A when interest rates fall. â⬠¢The price decreases are less in A when interest rates rise. 16-20 â⬠¢ Callable Bonds Convexity (Continued) ââ¬â When interest rates are high the curve is convex. The price-yield curve lies above the tangency line estimated by the duration approximation. ââ¬â When interest rates are low the curve is negative convex (concave). The priceyield curve lies beolw the tangency line. 16-21 Convexity (Continued) In the region of negative convexity the price-yield curve exhibits an unattractive asymmetry. â⬠¢ Increase in interest rates causes a larger price decline than the price gain due to the decrease in interest rates. â⬠¢ Bondholders are compensated with lower prices and higher yields. ââ¬â Effective Duration Effectiveduration P/P r 16-22 Convexity (Continued) â⬠¢ Macaulayâ⠬â¢s Duration ââ¬â The weighted average of the time until receipt of each bond payment. â⬠¢ Modified Duration ââ¬â Macaulayââ¬â¢s duration divided by (1+y). ââ¬â Percentage change in bond price per change in yield. â⬠¢ Effective Duration Percentage change in bond price per change in market interest rates. 16-23 Convexity (Continued) â⬠¢ Mortgage-Backed securities ââ¬â In a sense similar to callable bonds-subject to negative convexity. ââ¬â If mortgage rates decrease then homeowners may decide to take a new loan at lower rate and pay the principal for the first mortgage. ââ¬â Thus there is a ceiling for the bond price written on these mortgage loans as in callable bonds. 16-24 Passive Bond Management â⬠¢ Passive managers take bond prices as fairly set and try to control only the risk of their fixed-income portfolio. Indexing Strategy ââ¬â Attempts to replicate the performance of a given bond index. ââ¬â A bond-index portfolio will h ave the same risk-reward profile as the bond market index to which it is tied. â⬠¢ Immunization Strategy ââ¬â Designed to shield the overall financial status of the institution from exposure to interest rate fluctuations. ââ¬â Try to establish a zero-risk profile, in which interest rate movements have no impact on the value of the firm. 16-25 Passive Bond Management (Continued) â⬠¢ Bond-Index Funds ââ¬â Form a portfolio that mirrors the composition of an index that measures the broad market. The major bond indexes in USA are Lehman Aggregate Bond Index, Salomon Smith Barney Broad Investment Grade (BIG) Index, and Merill Lynch U. S. Broad Market Index. ââ¬â They are market-value weighted indexes of total return. They include government, corporate, mortgage backed, and Yankee bonds with maturity over a year. 16-26 Passive Bond Management (Continued) ââ¬â They are not easy to replicate however: â⬠¢ There are more than 5000 securities. â⬠¢ Rebalancing problems â⬠¢ Immunization ââ¬â Banks and pension funds in general try to protect their portfolios from interest rate risk altogether. Banks try to protect the current net worth (net market value) of the firm against interest rate fluctuations. ââ¬â Pension funds try to protect the future value of their portfolios since they have an obligation to make payments after several years. 16-27 Passive Bond Management (Continued) ââ¬â Interest rate exposure of the assets and the liabilites should match so the value of assets will follow the value of liabilities whether rates rise or fall. ââ¬â Duration-matched assets and liabilities let the asset potfolio meet firmââ¬â¢s obligations despite interest rate movements. 16-28 Passive Bond Management (Continued) ââ¬â What if interest rates change and the duration of the assets and liabilites do not match? â⬠¢ If interest rates increase the fund (asset) the firm has will suffer a capital loss which can affect its ability to meet the firmââ¬â¢s obligations (liabilities). â⬠¢ But the reinvestment rate for the coupon payments will increase so the reinvested coupons will grow at a faster rate. â⬠¢ There will be two offsetting types of interest rate risk: price risk and reinvestment rate risk. ââ¬â If the durations match, the price risk and reinvestment risk will cancel out each other. 6-29 Passive Bond Management (Continued) â⬠¢ The solid red curve shows the accumulated value of bonds if interest rates remain at 8%. â⬠¢ If interest rates increase at time=t* then the initial impact is capital loss but this loss is offset later by the faster growth rate of reinvested funds. â⬠¢ At the duration time two effects cancel out each ot her. 16-30 Passive Bond Management (Continued) â⬠¢ Graph of the PV of the bond and the zero-coupon obligation as a function of interest rate. â⬠¢ For small changes in interest rates the changes in assets and liabilities are same. For greater changes the curves diverge. â⬠¢ Why? â⬠¢ Convexity â⬠¢The asset and liability are not duration-matched across different interest rates. 16-31 Passive Bond Management (Continued) â⬠¢ Rebalancing immunized portfolios: ââ¬â As the duration of the assets and liabilities may change because of interest rate fluctuations the portfolio managers have to rebalance their portfolios to match the durations. ââ¬â Also duration changes with the passage of time. â⬠¢ As time passes the duration of the assets and liabilities will change at different rates. 16-32 Passive Bond Management (Continued) Cash Flow Matching ââ¬â Buying a zero coupon bond that provides a payment in an amount exactly sufficient to cover the projected cash outlay. â⬠¢ Dedication Strategy ââ¬â Cash flow matching on a multiperiod basis. ââ¬â The manager selects either zero-coupon or coupon bonds that provide total cash flows in each period that matches the series of obligations. ââ¬â Advantage: It is once-and-for-all approach and eliminates the interest rate risk. 16-33 Passive Bond Management (Continued) â⬠¢ Problems of Immunization ââ¬â In the general duration formula the weights are computed by discounting CFs with the same YTM. If YTM differs than for each CF a present value has to be calculated by using appropriate rate. ââ¬â Immunization only makes sense for nominal liabilities. â⬠¢ If your future obligation depends on the future inflation you can not immunize it by buying an asset with fixed-income (not indexed). 16-34 Active Bond Management â⬠¢ Finding mispriced securities, especially underpriced ones â⬠¢ Forecasting interest rates ââ¬â If the decline in interest rates are anticipated the managers will increase the duration of their asset portfolios. ââ¬â Homer and Liebowitz (1972) characterize portfolio rebalancing activities. 16-35 Active Bond Management (Continued) â⬠¢ Substitution swap ââ¬â It is an exchange of one bond for another with equal coupon, maturity, quality, call features, sinking fund provisions, and so on. ââ¬â Motivated by a belief that the market has temporarily mispriced two bonds. â⬠¢ Intermarket spread swap ââ¬â It is an exchange of bonds when an investor believes that the yield spread between two sectors of the bond market is temporarily out of line. 16-36 Active Bond Management (Continued) â⬠¢ Rate anticipated swap ââ¬â The investors swap shorter duration bonds with the longer duration ones since they believe that interest rates will decrease. Pure yield pickup swap ââ¬â The investors swap longer-term bonds with the shorter-term bond when yield curve is upward sloping. 16-37 Active Bond Management (Continued) â⬠¢ Horizon Analysis ââ¬â Form of interest rate forecasting ââ¬â The analyst selects a particular holding period and predicts the yield cur ve at end of period ââ¬â Given a bondââ¬â¢s time to maturity at the end of the holding period its yield can be read from the predicted yield curve and the end-of-period price can be calculated. ââ¬â The total return over the period is computed as adding the capital gain and coupon income for the holding period. 16-38 Active Bond Management (Continued) â⬠¢ Contingent Immunization ââ¬â Mixed passive and active strategy. ââ¬â You have to calculate the funds required to lock in via immunization. ââ¬â This value is trigger point. ââ¬â If and when the actual portfolio value dips to the trigger point, active management will cease. 16-39 Active Bond Management (Continued) â⬠¢ Panel A: the portfolio falls in value and hits the trigger at time t* then the immunization strategy pursued and portfolio rises to planned terminal value. â⬠¢ Panel B: the portfolio never reaches the trigger point and is worth more than the planned terminal value. 16-40
Sunday, November 24, 2019
Response Essay All the Kings Men Essays
Response Essay All the Kings Men Essays Response Essay All the Kings Men Essay Response Essay All the Kings Men Essay Literary devices are the tools and techniques of language that authors use to convey meaning. The skilled use of literary devices brings richness and clarity to a text. Robert Penn Warren utilizes various literary devices throughout his novel, All the Kingââ¬â¢s Men. Jack and Willie are co-protagonists and are able to be understood through the use of literary devices. Robert Penn Warren effectively presents his own knowledge to the reader about the past and its evident impact on the present through his use of different narration forms, metaphor, and characterization in the opening section of the novel to highlight the flaws of both protagonists. Warren shifts from second person to first person plural to contrast Jackââ¬â¢s pessimistic attitude towards life with his positive, accepting outlook at the end of the novel. Later in the novel the reader is exposed to Jackââ¬â¢s distressing past, which gives an explanation to his initial impression as a negative person. Jackââ¬â¢s tone is established initially through his description of an improbable accident; a scenario in which the driver loses focus and drives off the edge of the highway slab, getting stuck on the side of the road, marking the end of his journey. He concludes this thought with a sense of defeat as he points out, ââ¬Å"You wonââ¬â¢t make it, of courseâ⬠(Warren, 1).Jackââ¬â¢s depressing approach to this dilemma causes the reader to feel helpless and to expect the worst out of every scenario that will be presented throughout the novel. The tone established through Jackââ¬â¢s approach speaks about how the charactersââ¬â¢ past affects thei r future; specifically, how Jackââ¬â¢s current life has been affected by the heartbreak and abandonment of his past. Jack uses the word ââ¬Å"youâ⬠when describing theoretical scenarios or even personal events, as seen before, to put the blame on the reader. Warrenââ¬â¢s choice to narrate the story through Jack is influential to the novel as a whole because the rea
Thursday, November 21, 2019
Business law Essay Example | Topics and Well Written Essays - 500 words - 16
Business law - Essay Example The purpose of the law is to protect the plaintiffââ¬â¢s reputation, and so the statement must be published to third party, for it to amount to defamation. Therefore, this means that for defamation to occur, a third party must be involved (Best and burner 773). Defamation can be either libel, which is a permanent statement through print media or video, or slander, which is just a spoken form of word. Therefore, for someone to claim for damages on defamation, he/ she needs to prove that the defendantââ¬â¢s statement was defamatory, and that that it referred to her / him and that its publication was a malicious act. In our case here, Stanford Engineering, Inc launches an advertisement, claiming that their competitors, Cornell Code Corporation are using their customers, to ââ¬Ëtestââ¬â¢ their software. This statement is defamatory, since it ruins the reputation of Cornell Ltd, in the eyes of their customers. For Cornell to sue for un-liquidated damages on defamation, they will have to prove that the advert was defamatory. This can be proved by the fact that customers will avoid using their ââ¬Å"allegedly untested softwareââ¬â¢ and shift business to Stanford Corporation. The statement is defamatory to Cornell limited because it ruins the reputation of the company, in the eyes of the current and potential customers. Cornell Ltd also need to prove that the defamatory statement referred to them, and this is straight forward, because the advert was clearly stating that the plaintiff (Cornell Ltd) were marketing untested software. Moreover, Cornell needs to show that there was malice, in the publication of the statement. The mare fact that Stanford and Cornell corporations are competitors clearly shows that the main intention of Stanford, in publication of this advert was to ruin the reputation of their competitors, so that they can win their customers. Publishing false information against a competitor, in order to make them lose customers is
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